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	<title>Alyssa Katz &#187; Kevin Drum</title>
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	<link>http://alyssakatz.com</link>
	<description>From the author of Our Lot: How Real Estate Came to Own Us</description>
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		<title>Red Herring in the Rio Grande</title>
		<link>http://alyssakatz.com/blog/red-herring-in-the-rio-grande.html</link>
		<comments>http://alyssakatz.com/blog/red-herring-in-the-rio-grande.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2010 01:45:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alyssa Katz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[A Lot More]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Swartz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Drum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Konczal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rortybomb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S. David Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Texas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Big Money]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alyssakatz.com/?p=678</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My article for The Big Money on why Texas didn&#8217;t have a real estate bubble or bust has sparked some worthy responses, some proposing alternate explanations for the Texas miracle.
I owe a big debt to Mike Konczal, who pointed me to his initial posts and comments on his blog Rortybomb, where he first blogged about [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My article for The Big Money on <a href="http://www.thebigmoney.com/articles/judgments/2010/03/30/lone-star-secret">why Texas didn&#8217;t have a real estate bubble or bust</a> has sparked some worthy responses, some proposing alternate explanations for the Texas miracle.</p>
<p>I owe a big debt to Mike Konczal, who pointed me to his initial posts and comments on his blog Rortybomb, where <a href="http://rortybomb.wordpress.com/2009/04/21/ban-mortgage-prepayment-penalties-at-the-federal-level-1-texas/">he first blogged about the Texas miracle a year ago</a>. Here&#8217;s <a href=" http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/04/consumer_financial_protection.html">Mike&#8217;s take on my take</a> over at Ezra Klein&#8217;s <em>Washington Post</em> blog.</p>
<p>As Mike did in his earlier post, <a href="http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/04/dont-mess-texas-mortgages">at Mother Jones Kevin Drum notes</a> that Texas has a bunch of other borrower protections on its books, including bans on prepayment penalties, negative amortization mortgages, and balloon payments.</p>
<p><a href="http://law.onecle.com/texas/finance/343.205.00.html">Yes, these laws do exist in Texas</a>. And they have had little impact, because of the way the statutes were written. Just as with the failed effort by Congress to rein in subprime lending in the 1990s via the Home Owner&#8217;s Equity Protection Act (HOEPA), these restrictions only apply to &#8220;high cost&#8221; mortgages, defined as having an APR at least 8 points above the Treasury rate. And that&#8217;s the <em>initial</em> rate, so a teaser rate that later sets upward doesn&#8217;t count.</p>
<p>Attorney S. David Smith of the law firm McGlinchey Stafford, who represents Texas mortgage lenders and has a <a href="http://www.mcglinchey.com/contentdetail.asp?id=11365">handy guide to the high cost loan guidelines</a> on the firm&#8217;s website, told me lenders simply set their interest rates beneath the threshold to avoid being covered. &#8220;I have not seen a single reported high cost mortgage under the Texas Finance Code,&#8221; he reported.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s possible the Texas restrictions on prepayment penalties scared off bottom-feeding mortgage-backed securities issuers from buying Texas loans, since losing the penalties increases investors&#8217; uncertainty. But <a href="http://www.ccc.unc.edu/documents/Phase_I_report_Final_Oct5,2009_Clean.pdf">many states banned or restricted prepayment penalties for some or all borrowers</a>, at least until the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency preempted state banking regulations. Illinois, which bans the penalties entirely, has a foreclosure rate nearly twice that of Texas, and saw plenty of subprime loans.</p>
<p>The failure of regulations pegged to &#8220;high cost home loans&#8221; has already been well documented at the national level: HOEPA, with its 8-points-above-Treasury threshold, ended up applying to just 1 percent of all subprime mortgages (sorry, no link, but <a href="http://books.google.com/books?id=Ksmm152GtLUC&amp;pg=PA140&amp;lpg=PA140&amp;dq=hoepa+%221+percent%22&amp;source=bl&amp;ots=iC9yK2Cp8Q&amp;sig=56OMgyUDuD1ocddn_sEZb--0lr0&amp;hl=en&amp;ei=A061S8XKAoSdlgfFwOVG&amp;sa=X&amp;oi=book_result&amp;ct=result&amp;resnum=1&amp;ved=0CAYQ6AEwAA#v=snippet&amp;q=hoepa%201%20percent&amp;f=false">it&#8217;s cited here</a> by an all-star cast of housing and subprime experts &#8211; see page 140).</p>
<p>A couple of other good points:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/04/bubble_markets">At the Economist</a>, R.A. (aka Ryan Avent) cautions against giving regulations too much credit, and suggests that Texas saw causality in the opposite direction: no Texas bubble meant less home equity to drain.</p>
<p>A commentator at The Big Money, Joseph Zona, points out that because Texas does not have a state income tax, property taxes are high. They&#8217;re indeed significantly higher than in, say, Florida, a bubble state that also has no income tax, and it&#8217;s an important factor to consider.</p>
<p>Writer/activist/hacker <a href="http://www.aaronsw.com/">Aaron Swartz</a> calls me out for saying that Texas, like most sun belt states, is &#8220;flat and generous in letting real estate developers sprawl where they will.&#8221; Swartz notes: &#8220;The cause of sprawl is not a lack of regulation against it, but instead zoning regulations that make dense development illegal.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>How income inequality caused the crash</title>
		<link>http://alyssakatz.com/blog/income-inequality.html</link>
		<comments>http://alyssakatz.com/blog/income-inequality.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jan 2010 12:22:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alyssa Katz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[A Lot More]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[income inequality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Drum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Konczal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Raghuram Rajan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alyssakatz.com/?p=630</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Kevin Drum is as excited as Mike Konczal and I are that an economist is coming out with a book blaming income inequality for the financial crisis. In his recent (do read it) New Yorker piece on the death of the Chicago School, John Cassidy describes the heresy of U of Chicago prof Raghuram Rajan [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/01/vicious-cycle-stagnant-wages">Kevin Drum is as excited</a> as <a href="http://rortybomb.wordpress.com/2010/01/11/chicago-after-the-crisis/">Mike Konczal</a> and I are that an economist is coming out with a book blaming income inequality for the financial crisis. In his recent (do read it) New Yorker piece on the death of the Chicago School, John Cassidy describes the heresy of U of Chicago prof Raghuram Rajan as revealed in Rajan&#8217;s upcoming book <em>Fault Lines</em>: &#8220;the initial causes of the breakdown were stagnant wages and rising inequality.&#8221;</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s my uncredentialed take on Rajan&#8217;s point, from the epilogue of <em>Our Lot</em>:</p>
<blockquote><p>For the ﬁnancially skilled and illiterate alike, taking on extreme debt became, in many instances, a rational act. At ﬁrst the troops selling debt were greeted as  liberators— because they sure looked like it. In the de cade that began with President Clinton’s second term, Americans, on the whole, were prosperous as they’ve never been before, making more money and buying more things, no small thanks to the larger economic force of the debt surge itself. At the boom’s peak, home equity loans alone pumped up the gross domestic product by more than 2 percent.</p>
<p>But in the real world, that new wealth was proving illusory. Just try to send kids to a competitive college on $54,000 a year, the income of the typical American family. See if you can ﬁnd a good school district, career, and home in the same place (without a PhD or an MBA). And pray that you don’t have to deal with a serious illness, with or without health insurance.</p>
<p>Americans coped with increasingly extravagant but necessary expenses through trillions in borrowing against rising property values. In 2004, the nation’s homes  were collectively worth $19 trillion, $12.5 trillion of which was home equity yet to be tapped. That year, homeowners took out another $1 trillion in home equity loans and credit lines, and spent most of the money to pay off other debts.</p>
<p>Why did so many borrow so much? There’s no one answer, of course, except perhaps an economic habit that has united a culturally disparate nation for generations. Second only to oil, the U.S. economy runs on  anxiety—on the gambles of more than three hundred million people scrambling for security.</p></blockquote>
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